Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FREDDY-23
in Mozambique, Madagascar
13 Feb 2023 22 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FREDDY-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number: TC-2023-000023-MDG
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 211 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (24 Feb 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 169 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 211 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 10 Feb 2023 16:00 127 No people No people
Green 2 10 Feb 2023 22:00 127 No people No people
Green 3 11 Feb 2023 04:00 158 No people No people
Green 4 11 Feb 2023 10:00 158 No people No people
Green 5 11 Feb 2023 16:00 190 No people No people
Green 6 11 Feb 2023 22:00 211 No people No people
Green 7 12 Feb 2023 04:00 201 No people No people
Green 8 12 Feb 2023 10:00 201 No people No people
Green 9 12 Feb 2023 16:00 190 No people No people
Green 10 12 Feb 2023 22:00 201 No people No people
Green 11 13 Feb 2023 04:00 211 No people No people
Green 12 13 Feb 2023 10:00 201 No people No people
Green 13 13 Feb 2023 16:00 190 No people No people
Green 14 13 Feb 2023 22:00 169 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Category
(WMO/RSMC) **
Max winds
(km/h)
(WMO/RSMC)
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 10 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 1 127 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -14.8, 106.7
GREEN
2 10 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 1 127 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -14.8, 106
GREEN
3 11 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 2 158 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 139 -14.8, 105.1
GREEN
4 11 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 2 158 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 139 -14.8, 104.1
GREEN
5 11 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 3 190 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 167 -14.8, 103.1
GREEN
6 11 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 4 211 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 185 -14.8, 102.1
GREEN
7 12 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -15, 101.2
GREEN
8 12 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -15, 100.2
GREEN
9 12 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 3 190 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 167 -15.1, 99
GREEN
10 12 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -15.1, 98
GREEN
11 13 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 4 211 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 185 -15.2, 96.9
GREEN
12 13 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -15.3, 95.9
GREEN
13 13 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 3 190 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 167 -15.4, 94.6
GREEN
14 13 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 2 169 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 148 -15.4, 93.7
GREEN
14 14 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 81 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 71 -15.3, 92.5
**
Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Castigo, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 24 Feb 2023 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (246 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 49 of 22 Feb 2023 10:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Feb 2023 08:00 Castigo Mozambique  0.6
24 Feb 2023 09:00 China Mozambique  0.6
24 Feb 2023 09:00 Mahoa Mozambique  0.6
24 Feb 2023 09:00 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.6
24 Feb 2023 09:00 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.5
23 Feb 2023 08:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.5
24 Feb 2023 08:00 Caulino Mozambique  0.5
22 Feb 2023 17:00 Morombe Madagascar  0.5
24 Feb 2023 10:00 Uetela Mozambique  0.5
23 Feb 2023 08:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.4
23 Feb 2023 08:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 09:00 Mariano Mozambique  0.4
22 Feb 2023 17:00 Anadramy Nord Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 17:00 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 17:00 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 17:00 Mangolovolo Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 17:00 Andranopasy Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 09:00 Asneira Mozambique  0.4
24 Feb 2023 08:00 Natalia Mozambique  0.4
24 Feb 2023 08:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.4
24 Feb 2023 08:00 Afonso Mozambique  0.4
24 Feb 2023 08:00 Catine Mozambique  0.4
23 Feb 2023 08:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.4
23 Feb 2023 08:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.4
23 Feb 2023 08:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 20:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.4
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.4
23 Feb 2023 10:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.4
23 Feb 2023 10:00 Amado Mozambique  0.4
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 18:00 Befandeva Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 11:00 Fabiao Mozambique  0.3
23 Feb 2023 08:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 20:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Mananjary Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 18:00 Andavadoaka Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 10:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.3
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 20:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 11:00 Laisse Mozambique  0.3
24 Feb 2023 11:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.3
24 Feb 2023 11:00 Jo Mozambique  0.3
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 23:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 23:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 23:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 23:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Savana Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 19:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Onara Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Build v7.1 2008-03-26 Europa Island  0.3
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Warren Point Europa Island  0.3
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 18:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 19:00 Ankoba Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 19:00 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 19:00 Mite Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 20:00 Andalambezo Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 19:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 19:00 Manahy Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 19:00 Ankelifolo Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Marofihitsa Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ambararata Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ankevo Madagascar  0.2
24 Feb 2023 05:00 Afo Mozambique  0.2
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 23:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 23:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Tataho Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 20:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 18:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 21:00 Ambohitrabo Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 11:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Anakitaina Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 23:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 23:00 Itenina Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
24 Feb 2023 10:00 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Marohita Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 11:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
23 Feb 2023 11:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
23 Feb 2023 11:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
23 Feb 2023 11:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
23 Feb 2023 09:00 Tama Mozambique  0.2
23 Feb 2023 14:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
23 Feb 2023 14:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
23 Feb 2023 14:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
24 Feb 2023 11:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 15:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Pakapakaina Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 11:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.2
23 Feb 2023 11:00 Barra Mozambique  0.2
24 Feb 2023 10:00 Linchica Mozambique  0.2
24 Feb 2023 06:00 Bambe Mozambique  0.2
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Farafangana Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 21:00 Ambatomilo Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 19:00 Bekodoy Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 19:00 Salary Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 10:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
23 Feb 2023 09:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Akondro Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Manantenina Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Esama Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.1
21 Feb 2023 23:00 Baly Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 20:00 Tsiandamba Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 10:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
24 Feb 2023 05:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
23 Feb 2023 01:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
23 Feb 2023 01:00 Beira Mozambique  0.1
24 Feb 2023 07:00 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
24 Feb 2023 07:00 Macashale Mozambique  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Befasy Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 17:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 17:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 17:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 05:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 20:00 Tsifota Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 20:00 Ambolomailaka Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 10:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
23 Feb 2023 14:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
24 Feb 2023 05:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
21 Feb 2023 13:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 13:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ampalaza Madagascar  0.1
24 Feb 2023 12:00 Miramar Mozambique  0.1
21 Feb 2023 17:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 20:00 Manombo Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 20:00 Belalanda Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 20:00 Tulear Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 09:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
23 Feb 2023 10:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
21 Feb 2023 15:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.1
24 Feb 2023 15:00 Praia do Tofo Mozambique  0.1
21 Feb 2023 16:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 20:00 Antseranambe Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 21:00 Anakao Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 21:00 Soalara Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 20:00 Ankilibe Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 21:00 Saint Augustin Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 10:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
23 Feb 2023 01:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Siane Mozambique  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 22:00 Antsotso Avaratra Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 06:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.1
23 Feb 2023 08:00 Induna Mozambique  0.1
23 Feb 2023 07:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.1